វិនិយោគិន 'Big Short' Michael Burry ព្រមានពីការកើនឡើងអតិផរណាមួយផ្សេងទៀត - រំពឹងថាសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិកនឹង 'ធ្លាក់ក្នុងវិបត្តិសេដ្ឋកិច្ចដោយនិយមន័យណាមួយ' - សេដ្ឋកិច្ច Bitcoin ព័ត៌មាន

អ្នកគ្រប់គ្រងមូលនិធិការពារហានិភ័យ Michael Burry ដែលល្បីល្បាញសម្រាប់ការព្យាករណ៍វិបត្តិហិរញ្ញវត្ថុឆ្នាំ 2008 និយាយថា អតិផរណាបានឡើងដល់កំពូលនៅសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក ប៉ុន្តែនឹងមានការកើនឡើងអតិផរណាផ្សេងទៀត។ គាត់រំពឹងថាសេដ្ឋកិច្ចអាមេរិកនឹងស្ថិតក្នុងវិបត្តិសេដ្ឋកិច្ច "តាមនិយមន័យណាមួយ" ។

Michael Burry’s 2023 Economic Predictions

Famous investor and founder of investment firm Scion Asset Management, Michael Burry, has shared his 2023 economic predictions. Burry is best known for being the first investor to foresee and profit from the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis that occurred between 2007 and 2010. He is profiled in “The Big Short,” a book by Michael Lewis about the mortgage crisis, which was made into a movie starring Christian Bale.

Burry tweeted Sunday: “Inflation peaked. But it is not the last peak of this cycle.” He continued:

We are likely to see CPI lower, possibly negative in 2H 2023, and the U.S. in recession by any definition. Fed will cut and government will stimulate. And we will have another inflation spike. It’s not hard.

Many people on Twitter agreed with Burry. Lawyer John E. Deaton tweeted: “I believe this is accurate.” Economist Peter St. Onge wrote: “The smart kids agree: lower inflation will be transitory, then Fed cranks up the money printers and does it again.”

Investment specialist Karel Mercx commented: “Michael Burry has a point … Inflation usually comes in waves, and there is rarely one wave (see 1970s CPI chart). The five most dangerous words in investing are still: ‘this time it is different.’”

Investor Kerry Balenthiran concurred with Burry, tweeting: “Agreed, but the next inflationary spike could end in a decade or more. This is very much like the 1947 to 1965 secular bull market. In that case, there was a post-war inflation that quietened down, followed by an inflationary environment that ultimately peaked in 1980.”

Some people offered alternative viewpoints. Former broker Rob Bezdjian, for example, believes there will be deflation. “I will take the other side of his inflation prediction … We will be in deflation for a long time. Bubbles take a very long time to re-inflate,” he opined.

Burry has shared numerous warnings about the U.S. economy. In November 2022, he បានព្រមាន of “an extended multi-year recession.” In May, the Big Short investor ព្រមាន about a looming consumer recession and more earnings trouble. In April, he បាននិយាយថា: the Federal Reserve “has no intention of fighting inflation,” emphasizing: “The Fed’s all about reloading the monetary bazooka so it can ride to the rescue & finance the fiscal put.”

Do you agree with Michael Burry about inflation and that the U.S. economy will be in a recession? Let us know in the comments section below.

លោក Kevin Helms

និស្សិតម្នាក់នៃសេដ្ឋកិច្ចអូទ្រីសខេវិនបានរកឃើញ Bitcoin នៅឆ្នាំ ២០១១ និងជាអ្នកផ្សាយដំណឹងល្អចាប់តាំងពីពេលនោះមក។ ចំណាប់អារម្មណ៍របស់គាត់ស្ថិតនៅក្នុងសន្តិសុខ Bitcoin ប្រព័ន្ធបើកចំហប្រភពផលប៉ះពាល់បណ្តាញនិងចំណុចប្រសព្វរវាងសេដ្ឋកិច្ចនិងគ្រីប។

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