ប្រាក់ដុល្លារធ្លាក់ចុះនៅពេលដែលទិន្នន័យ CPI ផ្លាស់ប្តូរការរំពឹងទុកនៃការដំឡើងអត្រាការប្រាក់របស់ Fed

ប្រាក់ដុល្លារនៅក្នុង Freefall ខណៈដែល CPI បង្ហាញអតិផរណាយឺត

12:10 ET – សន្ទស្សន៍ប្រាក់ដុល្លារអាមេរិក ICE ធ្លាក់ចុះ 1.3% ដោយសារទិន្នន័យ CPI ខែកក្កដា បង្ហាញពីអតិផរណាធ្លាក់ចុះ។ សន្ទស្សន៍នេះធ្លាក់ចុះខ្លាំងបំផុតចាប់តាំងពីខែមិថុនា ហើយមុននេះត្រូវបានគេជួញដូរនៅកម្រិតទាបបំផុតចាប់តាំងពីខែមីនាឆ្នាំ 2020។ "ប្រាក់ដុល្លារស្ថិតក្នុងការដួលរលំដោយមិនគិតថ្លៃ" Oanda's

អេដវឺដម៉ូយ៉ា

tells WSJ. “Investors are convinced the Fed will have a much slower rate hiking cycle now.” The senior market analyst for the Americas says today’s numbers are “great news for risky assets and will really put an end to expectations that the interest rate differential for the dollar was going to continue to widen in its favor, and now you have a market that is more optimistic about the economy…. The top of the dollar could be in place right now if inflation continues to decelerate sharply.” ([អ៊ីមែលការពារ]; @jonvuocolo)

ក្រោយ​អតិផរណា​ផ្លាស់ទី​ជា​ប្រាក់​ដុល្លារ ភាគហ៊ុន​អាមេរិក​អាច​បង្ហាញ​ពី​ការ​សង្ខេប

1423 GMT – The dollar’s depreciation and a rally in U.S. stocks after Wednesday’s lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data probably won’t last, Saxo Markets says. “Both these moves may be short lived if the market returns its attention back to the Federal Reserve–one month of data won’t change their current hawkishness as it stands by its mission to force inflation down,” Saxo sales trader Mike Owens says in a note. U.S. inflation eased to an annual rate of 8.5% in July from 9.1% in June while core inflation held at 5.9%. The DXY dollar index drops 1.3% to a near 6-week low of 104.911. EUR/USD rises 1.1% to 1.0331 after earlier hitting a five-week high of 1.0345, according to FactSet. ([អ៊ីមែលការពារ])

ប្រាក់ដុល្លារចុះខ្សោយលើទិន្នន័យអតិផរណា

0912 ET – The dollar tumbles following lower-than-expected July inflation. The DXY is down 1.3% as the greenback weakens against all major currencies, including 1.5% versus the yen, 1.1% versus the euro and the pound and 1.3% to the Australian dollar. The core CPI measure rises 5.9% in the 12 months through July, the same as recorded in June, while economists expected an acceleration to 6.1%. If further data confirm that inflation has peaked, the Fed could be more inclined to raise rates by 50 basis points next month, instead of another 75bp hike, potentially reducing support for the US dollar. ([អ៊ីមែលការពារ]; @ptrevisani)

ក្រូណាស៊ុយអែតអាចតស៊ូឡើងថ្លៃគួរសម

1014 GMT - ប្រាក់ក្រូណាស៊ុយអែតអាចជួបការលំបាកក្នុងការកើនឡើងយ៉ាងខ្លាំងក្នុងរយៈពេលដ៏ខ្លីនេះ បើទោះបីជា Riksbank ដំឡើងអត្រាការប្រាក់ក៏ដោយ

ធនាគារអាមេរិច

says. “The Riksbank has been on SEK’s side this year, but for SEK to strengthen meaningfully from here, we also need a favorable risk sentiment and a weaker USD,” BofA analysts say. “We are not there yet.” However, there is still some scope for the krona to appreciate versus the euro as the Riksbank has a more positive real economic backdrop than the European Central Bank and no fragmentation risks while Sweden’s energy dependency and energy mix are more favorable than those of the eurozone, the analysts say. BofA expects EUR/SEK to fall to 10.00 by year-end from 10.3758 currently. ([អ៊ីមែលការពារ])

ក្រូនន័រវេសត្រូវបានគេមើលឃើញថាមានតម្លៃទាប រំពឹងថានឹងកើនឡើង

0945 GMT – The Norwegian krone remains undervalued despite its rally in July but looks set to strengthen further as energy prices remain elevated and markets underestimate the Norges Bank’s policy tightening, Bank of America says. “We expect Norges Bank to raise rates to 3% next year–markets price a somewhat lower terminal [peak] rate but a more front-loaded pace,” BofA analysts say in a note. “For these reasons, as well as to hedge further energy disruptions in Europe, we are positioned for lower EUR/NOK with a 6-month horizon.” BofA expects EUR/NOK to fall to 9.70 by year-end and to 9.50 by March 2023, from 9.8957 currently. ([អ៊ីមែលការពារ])

ប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូទំនងជានៅខ្សោយធៀបនឹងប្រាក់ដុល្លារ

0921 GMT - ប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូនៅតែទន់ខ្សោយធៀបនឹងប្រាក់ដុល្លារ ហើយហាក់ដូចជាមិនមានករណីគួរឱ្យទាក់ទាញចិត្តក្នុងការទិញគូរូបិយប័ណ្ណនេះ ING បាននិយាយថា។ ការពិចារណាលើការវាយតម្លៃរយៈពេលមធ្យមបង្ហាញថា EUR/USD មិនត្រូវបានគេវាយតម្លៃជាពិសេសនោះទេ ហើយអឺរ៉ុបត្រូវបានប្រឈមមុខនឹងហានិភ័យនៃព្រឹត្តិការណ៍ភូមិសាស្ត្រនយោបាយជាងអាមេរិកខាងជើង អ្នកវិភាគ ING

Chris Turner

says in a note. The absence of notable European economic data Wednesday means EUR/USD will be driven by U.S. inflation data at 1230 GMT, he says. “Declining levels of implied volatility suggest investors may be in no mood to chase EUR/USD out of a 1.0100-1.0300 range near term.” Implied volatility is a measure of expected price swings based on options pricing. EUR/USD rises 0.1% to 1.0221. ([អ៊ីមែលការពារ])