Dow Jones Futures: ការប្រជុំរបស់ Fed ខណៈដែលទីផ្សារធ្លាក់ចុះលើការពិតនេះ; ភាគហ៊ុនចំនួនប្រាំកំពុងកាន់កាប់

Dow Jones futures will open on Sunday evening, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures, with the Federal Reserve meeting in focus.

X

The stock market suffered damaging losses in the past week on a surprisingly hot CPI inflation report as well as some grim earnings reports or warnings. The major indexes gapped below their 50-day moving averages and undercut some further key levels on Friday. Many leading stocks also struggled.

It’s a time for investors to have minimal exposure, at most. Build up watchlists with stocks boasting strong relative strength and holding key levels. ក្រុមហ៊ុន tesla (TSLA), ថាមពលអ៊ីនផល (អេនភីអេ), ការកាន់កាប់អង្សាសេ (សេល), ឆ្កែចចក (WOLF) និង ឱសថ Vertex ។ (អេសធីធី) all qualify.

Of course, Tesla stock, Enphase, etc. look robust now, but they may not in the coming days. Plenty of stocks looked strong until last Tuesday. Others looked solid until Thursday or Friday.

WOLF stock is on the IBD តារាងពិន្ទុ watchlist. Tesla, Enphase and CELH stock are on the IBD ៥០. ENPH stock and Vertex are on the ប៊ី។ អេ។ ឌី។ ធំធំ ២០.

កិច្ចប្រជុំរបស់ Fed

The Fed meeting is on Sept. 20-21. In the wake of Tuesday’s consumer price index, which showed strength everywhere outside gasoline, markets reinforced expectations of a third straight Fed rate hike of 75 basis points. (There is a slim chance of a monster 100-basis-point move.) Investors will be focused about what Fed policy hints for the future.

Fed quarterly projections will signal where policymakers see the fed funds rate further out.

Right now, the market is leaning toward yet another 75-basis-point rate hike in November, followed by 25 or 50 basis points in December. That would push the fed funds target rate to either 4%-4.25% or 4.25%-4.5%, vs. expectations of 3.75%-4% before the CPI report.

Fed chief Jerome Powell will give his post-meeting comments at 2:30 p.m. ET. Powell made it crystal clear in his Aug. 26 Jackson Hole speech that the Federal Reserve would not repeat its mistakes of the 1970s by easing policy too quickly.

Dow Jones Futures ថ្ងៃនេះ

ដុនចូវនាពេលអនាគតបើកនៅម៉ោង ៦ ល្ងាចនិងថ្ងៃអាទិត្យនាថ្ងៃអាទិត្យរួមជាមួយអេសអេសអេសភីភីនាពេលអនាគតនិងណាសាដាក ១០០ អនាគត។

ចងចាំថាសកម្មភាពពេញមួយយប់ ពេលអនាគតព្រួញ ហើយកន្លែងផ្សេងទៀតមិនចាំបាច់បកប្រែទៅជាការជួញដូរពិតប្រាកដនៅក្នុងទៀងទាត់បន្ទាប់ទេ។ ទីផ្សារភាគហ៊ុន សម័យ។

ចូលរួមជាមួយអ្នកជំនាញ IBD នៅពេលពួកគេវិភាគភាគហ៊ុនដែលអាចធ្វើសកម្មភាពបាននៅក្នុងសន្និបាតផ្សារភាគហ៊ុននៅលើអិល។ អេ។ អាយ។ អេស

ទីផ្សារភាគហ៊ុនកាលពីសប្តាហ៍មុន

The stock market suffered sharp losses in the past week, reversing hard after solid gains on Monday.

សន្ទស្សន៍ឧស្សាហកម្ម Dow Jones បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 4.1% ក្នុងសប្តាហ៍មុន។ ការជួញដូរទីផ្សារភាគហ៊ុន. The S&P 500 index sank 4.8%. The Nasdaq composite tumbled 5.5%. The small-cap Russell 2000 gave up 4.5%.

The 10-year Treasury yield ran up 13 basis points to 3.45%, the seventh straight weekly gain. At one point Friday, the 10-year yield hit 3.483%, exactly matching the 11-year high set on June 14.

U.S. crude oil futures fell 1.9% to $85.11 a barrel last week, third straight weekly decline. Natural gas prices sank 2.7%, but after a wild week of gains and losses.

ETFs

ក្នុងចំណោម អេហ្វអេហ្វអេសល្អបំផុតអ្នកច្នៃប្រឌិត IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) skidded 5% last week, while the Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (ប៊ី) បានបោះបង់ចោល 4.2% ។ iShares ពង្រីកផ្នែកបច្ចេកវិទ្យា-សូហ្វវែរ ETF (IGV) plunged 8.3%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) បានបោះបង់ចោល 6% ។

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 10.3% កាលពីសប្តាហ៍មុន។ Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF (សន្សំ) 7.5% ។ US Global Jets ETF (យន្តហោះ) slid 5%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHBធ្លាក់ចុះ 6.9% ។ ថាមពលជ្រើសរើស SPDR ETF (XLE) បានបោះបង់ចោល 2.7% និង Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) បាត់បង់ 3.9% ។ មូលនិធិថែទាំសុខភាពជ្រើសរើសវិស័យ SPDR (XLIV) ធ្លាក់ចុះ 2.3%

ឆ្លុះបញ្ចាំងពីភាគហ៊ុនរឿងដែលរំពឹងទុកបន្ថែមទៀត ARK Innovation ETF (អាខេខេ) បានធ្លាក់ចុះ 4.5% កាលពីសប្តាហ៍មុន ហើយ ARK Genomics ETF (អេខេខេជី) 5.3% ។ ភាគហ៊ុន Tesla គឺជាការកាន់កាប់ដ៏សំខាន់នៅទូទាំង ETFs របស់ Ark Invest ។

ភាគហ៊ុនចិនល្អបំផុតទាំង ៥ ដែលត្រូវមើលឥឡូវនេះ

ភាគហ៊ុន ENPH

Enphase stock rose 4% this past week to 318.01, continuing to find support at a rising 21-day line. A pullback to the 21-day, perhaps pausing for the 50-day line to catch up, might offer a safer buying opportunity. A number of solar plays still look strong.

ភាគហ៊ុនអង្សាសេ

CELH stock fell 4.9% to 100.70 last week, but found support at the 10-week moving average A move above Thursday’s high of 108.37 could offer an aggressive entry. In a few weeks, Celsius stock could have a new base with a 118.29 buy point.

ភាគហ៊ុន WOLF

EV-focused chipmaker Wolfspeed rallied 5.25% to 120.21 last week, including Friday’s 2.8% gain. Investors could treat 123.35 as a buy point for WOLF stock from a handle in a longer consolidation.

ភាគហ៊ុន VRTX

Vertex stock fell 0.9% last week to 289.42, but rose 0.8% on Friday to push above the 21-day, 50-day and 10-week lines. A move above the Sept. 12 high of 296.14 would offer an early entry. It’s possible VRTX stock will have a flat base in a few days, with a 306.05 buy point.

ភាគហ៊ុនរបស់ក្រុមហ៊ុន Tesla

Tesla stock rose 1.2% to 303.35 this past week, after soaring 10.9% in the prior week. Shares of the EV giant held support at the 200-day moving average.

នេះ បន្ទាត់កម្លាំងដែលទាក់ទង for TSLA stock has improved considerably. over the past two weeks, hitting a five-month high. The RS line, the blue line in the chart provided, tracks a stock’s performance vs. the S&P 500 index.

Investors could use a move above Thursday’s high of 309.12 as an aggressive entry, or the short-term high of 314.64. That would still be a long way from a traditional buy point.

For all of these stocks, the weak market conditions raise the risks of any purchases now.

Tesla Vs. BYD៖ តើ EV Giant មួយណាដែលល្អជាងទិញ?

ការវិភាគទីផ្សារភាគហ៊ុន

The stock market started the past week with a strong gain on Monday, which now seems a long time ago. The major indexes plunged through their 50-day moving averages on Tuesday. On Friday, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed below their Sept. lows and late July lows, even if they did come off intraday lows.

The major indexes have now retraced more than half their gains from the mid-June to mid-August advance.

Yes, some leading stocks held up, but for every Tesla, Vertex or Celsius, there were several quality names that suffered damaging losses

Tuesday’s CPI report didn’t just cause serious technical damage to the market, it undermined the broader bull case. Investors had been betting that a tame inflation report would spur the Fed to start slowing rate hikes, at least after September. Those hopes have been pushed back.

It’s the second time that markets have been too rosy about Fed policy. The summer rally was spurred in no small part by investors expecting the Fed to soon end rate hikes — and then start cutting sometime in 2023. Powell’s Jackson Hole speech ended talk of a “Fed pivot” to rate cutting.

It’s possible that the actual Fed meeting Wednesday will not be a big market mover, given how much investors have adjusted in the past three weeks.

Rates are going to go high, and stay there for an extended period. The Fed is willing to have the U.S. fall into recession in order to wring out inflation.

Outside of falling jobless claims, which only reinforced Fed concerns, recent economic data has been disappointing. A high-inflation, high-wage, low-growth environment is a huge challenge for any company.

The disastrous FedEx (FDX) earnings and commentary, mixed results from កម្មវិធី Adob ​​e (ADBE) and warnings from ណុច (ន) និង ដែកថែបអាមេរិក (X) reflect that companies face an extended period of uneven or weak results. The multinationals and exporters that dominate the S&P 500 may be especially exposed, given the strong dollar along with weakness in Europe and China.

ពេលវេលាទីផ្សារជាមួយយុទ្ធសាស្ត្រទីផ្សារអេហ្វអិលអេហ្វ

អ្វីដែលត្រូវធ្វើឥឡូវនេះ

The stock market is not in good shape. Macroeconomic conditions are poor. Investors have to consider that the market could undercut June’s lows or be rangebound for weeks or even months until there’s real clarity on the endgame for Fed rate hikes.

Investors’ exposure should be minimal. There’s nothing wrong with being 100% cash, especially if recent trades have gone against you.

Focus on building your watchlists, paying attention to stocks showing resilience. If the market remains weak, some of these names will falter, while others will crop up. The key is to have an up-to-date list when market conditions do improve, and you’re ready to take advantage.

អាន រូបភាពធំ ជារៀងរាល់ថ្ងៃដើម្បីធ្វើសមកាលកម្មជាមួយទិសដៅទីផ្សារនិងការឈានមុខគេលើស្តុកនិងវិស័យ។

សូមតាមដាន Ed Carson នៅលើ Twitter នៅ @IBD_ECarson សម្រាប់បច្ចុប្បន្នភាពទីផ្សារភាគហ៊ុននិងច្រើនទៀត។

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