Topline
The International Monetary Fund warned on Tuesday that global economic growth will be “severely set back” by the fallout from Russia’s war with Ukraine, the effects of which will be felt “far and wide” as the conflict adds to global pricing pressures and fuels inflation.
“Global economic prospects have been severely set back,” the IMF said.
Peter Dejong/ASSOCIATED PRESS
ការពិតសំខាន់
The IMF issued a “significant downgrade” to growth projections in its latest ទស្សនវិស័យសេដ្ឋកិច្ចពិភពលោក, predicting global GDP will grow 3.6% in 2022—a marked downgrade from the 4.4% estimated in January and the world’s 6.1% GDP growth in 2021.
The IMF became the latest to ទស្សន៍ទាយ a “significant slowdown” in global growth this year, as the economic damage from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has far-reaching consequences around the world.
IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas warns that disruptions to Russian oil and gas as well as Ukrainian wheat and corn will continue to hit commodities markets “like seismic waves.”
The main reason for the downgrade, according to Gourinchas, is that economic damage from the war in Ukraine will continue to hurt global output and “add to inflation,” especially as fuel and food prices have increased rapidly.
He describes inflation as a “clear and present danger” that is expected to persist for longer in many countries, warning that central banks “need to act decisively” to hike interest rates but make sure that doing so doesn’t hurt economic growth.
Downside risks to global economic growth remain plentiful: Beyond the war in Ukraine and persistent inflation, the coronavirus pandemic continues to present a challenge, while the IMF also warned of potential “financial instability” and “social unrest” amid all the uncertainty.
អត្ថបទដកស្រង់
“Economic damage from the [Ukraine] conflict will contribute to a significant slowdown in global growth in 2022 and add to inflation,” Gourinchas said. “The effects of the war will propagate far and wide, adding to price pressures and exacerbating significant policy challenges.”
អ្វីដែលត្រូវមើល:
The IMF isn’t alone in slashing global economic growth forecasts over the last few weeks. Experts at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a think tank based out of Washington D.C., បានព្យាករណ៍ថ្មីៗនេះ global GDP to decline to 3.3% in 2022 and 2023. The World Bank, meanwhile, has also issued similar warnings, ការបញ្ចុះ its 2022 GDP forecast to 3.2% from 4.1%.
តង់ហ្សង់៖
A host of Wall Street firms are similarly ការព្រមាន that corporations are expected to feel the brunt of inflation as they report earnings and warn of increased pricing pressures. Analysts at Morgan Stanley predict that quarterly earnings are likely to take a hit as rising costs due to inflation dent margins and hurt consumer spending, while Goldman Sachs strategists recently put the odds of a recession within the next two years at 35%.
អំណានបន្ថែម:
ការអំពាវនាវឱ្យមានវិបត្តិសេដ្ឋកិច្ចកើនឡើងនៅពេលដែលអតិផរណាគំរាមកំហែងដល់ប្រាក់ចំណូលសាជីវកម្ម និងការកើនឡើងថ្លៃដើមបានប៉ះពាល់ដល់អ្នកប្រើប្រាស់ (ទស្សនាវដ្តី Forbes)
ធនាគារធំគឺជាធនាគារដំបូងគេដែលព្យាករណ៍ពីវិបត្តិសេដ្ឋកិច្ច - ច្រើនទៀតអាចធ្វើតាម (ទស្សនាវដ្តី Forbes)
JPMorgan ជំរុញឥណទានបម្រុងជាធុងប្រាក់ចំណេញ Jamie Dimon ព្រមានអំពី 'បញ្ហាប្រឈមសំខាន់ៗនៅខាងមុខ' (ទស្សនាវដ្តី Forbes)
ក្រុមប្រឹក្សាភិបាល Twitter ទទួលយកថ្នាំពុល ដើម្បីទប់ស្កាត់ការដេញថ្លៃយករបស់ Elon Musk (ទស្សនាវដ្តី Forbes)
Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/sergeiklebnikov/2022/04/19/imf-sounds-alarm-on-significant-slowdown-as-ukraine-war-and-inflation-slam-global-economies/