Maverick' សម្តែងដូចជា 'Passion Of The Christ' និង 'American Sniper'

And… boom, just like that, Top Gun: Maverick is going to be Tom Cruise’s biggest domestic grosser. The Skydance/Paramount release earned another $25 million on Friday, down just 52% from its $52 million opening day (which counted $19.2 million in preview grosses) and bringing its domestic total to $230 million. The $170 million legacy sequel sits moments away from passing the $235 million lifetime cume of Steven Spielberg’s សង្គ្រាមពិភពលោក។. Yes, there’s inflation to be considered, Mission: Impossible’s $181 million cume would be around $375 million adjusted, but that may only be a caveat for another week or two.

The 52% Friday-to-Friday drop is as small as I could find for the post-Memorial Day weekend Friday among “big” openers since ម៉ាដាហ្គាស្កា​រ (-42% after a $13.9 million Friday) and កន្លែងដែលវែងជាងគេ (-46% from a $16.1 million opening Friday) in 2005. The comparison is not anything from Memorial Day weekend (Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull, Fast & Furious 6, Solo ផ្សេងៗ មនុស្ស​មាន​ថាមពល​ចំ​លែក movies, etc.) but rather Clint Eastwood’s អ្នកលបបាញ់អាមេរិក and Mel Gibson’s នេះ ចំណង់ចំណូលចិត្តរបស់ព្រះគ្រីស្ទ.

The Bradly Cooper war actioner/biopic opened wide (after 22 days of platform release) with an $89 million Fri-Sun/$107 million Fri-Mon MLK weekend debut in 2015. It fell just 40% to $18 million on its second “wide release” Friday and earned $64.6 million over the Fri-Sun frame, dropping just 28% and crossing $200 million by the end of that second wide-release weekend. Also dropping 40% on Friday #2 (after opening on a Wednesday) and $36 million in its second Fri-Sun frame was ចំណង់ចំណូលចិត្តរបស់ព្រះគ្រីស្ទ. That faith-based blockbuster opened with $128 million over its Wed-Sun debut in March of 2004 and ended with $370 million.

Those two films played huge both to general moviegoers and those who otherwise don’t generally/didn’t generally venture out to the multiplex for (almost) anything else. While Maverick គឺជាភាពយន្តបែបអបិយជំនឿទាំងស្រុង និងគួរឱ្យអស់សំណើច (ផឹករាល់ពេលដែលនរណាម្នាក់និយាយថា "សត្រូវ" ឬ "អ្នកប្រយុទ្ធជំនាន់ទីប្រាំ”) វាបានប៉ះពាល់ដល់អ្នកប្រើប្រាស់ដែលគិតថាការផលិតហូលីវូដទាំងអស់គឺជាភាពយន្តសៀវភៅកំប្លែង និងរឿងសេរី។ ទោះបីជាមានភាពមិនត្រឹមត្រូវក៏ដោយ ខ្សែភាពយន្តនេះត្រូវបានគេចាត់ទុកជា "មួយសម្រាប់ពួកយើង" ក្នុងចំណោមអ្នកដែលនឹងមិនបង្ហាញ ក៏ដូចជាការសម្ដែងទៅកាន់អ្នកគាំទ្រ Tom Cruise អ្នកទស្សនាភាពយន្តធម្មតា និងអ្នកដែលគ្រាន់តែចង់ឃើញប្រេងល្អ ម៉ាស៊ីនផលិតដុំសាច់ហូលីវូដដែលមិនអស្ចារ្យ មិនអស្ចារ្យ។

That all of these elements are in a rather wholesome and kid-friendlt package is icing on the cake. It’s simplistic (and unfair) to call Top Gun: Maverick “American Sniper for kids,” but… It is possible that, in terms of early legs, Top Gun: Maverick could play likewise. We can surmise a possible $85 million (-35%) second-weekend gross, bringing its ten-day cume to $290 million. If so, then A) the film will be just over/under អ្នកបាញ់កាំភ្លើងអាមេរិក (និង World War Z’s) $547 million lifetime gross and past any non-បេសកកម្ម: មិនអាចទៅរួច movie ever save for (for now) សង្គ្រាមពិភពលោក។ (៤ លានដុល្លារ)។

That (or anything over $250 million by Sunday) would make it already Cruise’s ninth-biggest grosser when adjusted for inflation, behind the $310-$440 million likes of Top Gun, Rain Man, The Firm, War of the Worlds, A Few Good Men, Jerry Maguire, បេសកកម្ម: មិនអាចទៅរួច និង បេសកកម្ម៖ មិនអាចទៅរួចទី ២. If it plays like those two “exception to the rule” smash hits, then it’ll earn over/under 1.74x its respective “end of weekend two” total. Presuming it grosses $85 million this weekend (which would be the biggest second-weekend gross ever for a film whose Fri-Sun opening gross was below $174 million), 1.73 x $290 million = $502 million.

Aladdin earned $356 million from a $186 million ten-day total, or 1.91x the second-weekend cume, but let’s not yet get carried away. If it legs out from here only like បុរសខ្មៅ iii ($179 million/$111 million), it might have to settle for a mere $467 million domestic. Even a run like Puss នៅក្នុងស្បែកជើងកវែង។ (which opened with $34 million then dropped 3% in weekend two and 25% in weekend three before dropping off a cliff after Thanksgiving with $149 million total) still gets Top Gun: Maverick (presuming a 50% drop against ពិភព Jurassic: Dominion) just over/under $500 million.

Yes, these are crazy comparisons, but these are unthinkably strong day-to-day holds. While ពិភព Jurassic: Dominion is going to take away Top Gun: Maverick’s IMAX and PLF screens in much of the world next weekend, the Navy actioner is still uniquely positioned as the event movie of the summer for grown-ups. It’s got the buzz, the reviews, the word-of-mouth, the old-school “action drama about normal people” hook and everything else (including long legs for well-liked movies) already associated with Tom Cruise and the កំពូលកាំភ្លើង franchise. To paraphrase a summer-of-2000 smash hit, I’m calling it a perfect storm.