ភាគហ៊ុន OXY ស្ថិតក្នុងភាពប្រែប្រួលទាបបំផុតក្នុងរយៈពេល 2 ឆ្នាំ៖ ពេលវេលាដើម្បីទិញភាពប្រែប្រួល?

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is showing the lowest level of implied volatility in two years. That could mean it’s a good time to be a buyer of volatility in OXY stock.

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We can do this via a strategy called a long strangle, which is constructed through buying an out-of-the-money call and an out-of-the-money put.

Buying a long strangle is cheaper than a straddle វែង, but will still suffer from time decay. That means the options will lose a little bit of value with each day that passes if the stock doesn’t make a big move.

With a long strangle, the further out in time the trade is placed, the slower the time decay. But the options are more expensive and require more capital.

For OXY stock, a long strangle could be placed by buying a 72.50 strike call and a 52.50 strike put for the March 17 expiration. The call was trading Wednesday around $1.30 and the put around $1.60.

Cost Of Trade $290

When we add the two together, the total cost of the trade would be around $2.90 per contract, or $290. This is the total amount of risk in the trade, and the maximum that could be lost.

The break-even prices are calculated by taking the strike prices plus and minus the cost of the strangle.

That gives us break-even prices of 49.60 and 75.40, but profits can be made with a smaller move if the move comes earlier in the trade.

For example, the estimated break-even prices at the end of January are around 60 and 69.

Changes to implied volatility will have a big impact on this trade and the interim break-even prices. So it’s important to have a solid understanding of volatility before placing a trade like this.

The ideal scenario is a large move in either direction within the first week or two of the trade.

Steady OXY Stock Price Would Hurt Trade

The worst-case scenario with this Occidental Petroleum long strangle would be a stable stock price, which would see the call and put slowly lose value each day. For a long strangle, I usually set a stop loss at around 20% of capital at risk, which would be around $60, and a profit target of around 40%.

Occidental Petroleum is due to report earnings Feb. 28, and implied volatility is likely to drop after that event.

បើយោងទៅតាម ការត្រួតពិនិត្យភាគហ៊ុន IBD, OXY stock is ranked No. 1 in its industry group and has a ការវាយតម្លៃសមាសធាតុ នៃ 99, មួយ។ ការវាយតម្លៃ EPS នៃ 81 និងមួយ ការវាយតម្លៃកម្លាំងទាក់ទង នៃ 87 ។

A ការរីករាលដាលនៃការហៅគោ on ប្តូរប្រាក់ ៤ (បួន) discussed Dec. 17 has achieved a profit of around $350 and can be closed. A ratio spread trade on ក្រុមហ៊ុន Boeing (BA) explained Jan. 4 can also be closed for a nice profit.

វាជារឿងសំខាន់ដែលត្រូវចងចាំថាជម្រើសមានហានិភ័យ ហើយអ្នកវិនិយោគអាចបាត់បង់ 100% នៃការវិនិយោគរបស់ពួកគេ។

អត្ថបទនេះគឺសម្រាប់គោលបំណងអប់រំតែប៉ុណ្ណោះហើយមិនមែនជាអនុសាសន៍ពាណិជ្ជកម្មទេ។ ត្រូវចាំថាត្រូវឧស្សាហ៍ព្យាយាមដោយខ្លួនឯងនិងពិគ្រោះជាមួយអ្នកប្រឹក្សាហិរញ្ញវត្ថុរបស់អ្នកមុនពេលធ្វើការសម្រេចចិត្តវិនិយោគណាមួយ។

Gavin McMaster មានអនុបណ្ឌិតផ្នែកហិរញ្ញវត្ថុនិងវិនិយោគ។ គាត់មានជំនាញក្នុងការរកប្រាក់ចំណេញដោយប្រើជម្រើសគឺមានលក្ខណៈអភិរក្សយ៉ាងខ្លាំងនៅក្នុងរចនាបថរបស់គាត់ហើយជឿជាក់ថាការអត់ធ្មត់ក្នុងការរង់ចាំការតំឡើងល្អបំផុតគឺជាគន្លឹះដើម្បីទទួលបានជោគជ័យក្នុងការជួញដូរ។ តាមគាត់នៅលើ Twitter នៅ @ជម្រើសអ៊ីស្ត្រាត្រាឌីន

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