អ្នកយុទ្ធសាស្រ្តនេះនិយាយថា មាន 'ទ្រព្យសម្បត្តិដ៏ល្អឥតខ្ចោះ' តែមួយគត់ដើម្បីប្រយុទ្ធប្រឆាំងនឹងព័ត៌មានអាក្រក់ទាំងអស់ដែលអាចនឹងមកដល់

Ahead of that, stocks are falling after Ford warned on high supply costs, on the heels of FedEx’s
អេហ្វឌីអេច
-1.99​%

profit caution last week.

The dollar and cash have been among the most popular havens for investors as they navigate recession risks with higher rates and higher inflation, alongside a brutal war in Europe.

ប៉ុន្តែរបស់យើង។ ការហៅនៃថ្ងៃ from Warren Pies, co-founder and strategist at 3Fourteen Research, sees energy as នៃ hedge for any bad news in the pipeline. As he notes, after years of moving in opposite directions, equities and bonds have been falling together.

“I think that you just have a lot more potential outcomes in the future now where stocks and bonds are positively correlated. There’s very few assets that can hedge the risks that are out there. And I think energy is the perfect asset,” Pies said in an interview that published last Friday with Real Vision.

And while the Fed may try to hike until it brings down energy prices — a major reason for surging inflation — they may not succeed as they “can’t impact the main prime driver of oil right now” — geopolitics, said Pies.

“If we move forward fully sanctioning Russian oil and really getting off this stalemate that’s going on right now and posturing, the world’s going to be short a lot of oil,” and that will create “one heck of a recession,” he said. “Oil is going to do its own thing…That’s why you need to have oil exposure through energy in your portfolio.”

As for the types of oil companies, Pies advises keeping it simple. “You don’t need to take on any kind of company specific risk or beta right here. Buy the bellwethers, the big energy companies, liquid energy companies.

“If you want to be a little bit different or outside of the benchmark, we do still like the large cap Canadian producers because they have a lower cost of production and maintenance capex more or less,” he said.

What he’s been suggesting to clients is a 10% to 20% energy position, given the sector represents 5% of the S&P 500
SPX,
-0.65​%
,
and then whittle the rest of the portfolio to quality companies. “You’re just trying to sidestep the unprofitable tech stuff,” said Pies.

The strategist sees a similar set up to what happened after the last tech bubble between 2000 and 2005, when markets entered into a new commodity secular bull market, and quality plus energy lagged the market, especially the tech space. He sees that similar setup playing out over the next year.

More about the sector: ហេតុផលបួនយ៉ាងដែលអ្នកគួរទិញភាគហ៊ុនថាមពលឥឡូវនេះ ប្រសិនបើអ្នកជាអ្នកវិនិយោគរយៈពេលវែង

អាន: Stocks may be headed for more pain as second half of September is historically ‘very bearish’

Weighing on whether the stock market is looking at bottom, Pies said if the S&P 500 reaches the 3,600 neighborhood he’d start buying. “We did it last time. On June 16, we put a report out to our clients after being bearish all year, saying put about 25% or 33% of your capital back into the market here. And if we get there again, then we would make the same move.”

And in the worst case the S&P 500 drops to 3200? “We could be another 10% lower, but if you can’t handle a 10% drawdown in this business, you’re in the wrong business,” said Pies.

ស្តាប់ពី Ray Dalio នៅ គំនិតថ្មីល្អបំផុតនៅក្នុងពិធីបុណ្យប្រាក់ នៅថ្ងៃទី 21 ខែកញ្ញានិងថ្ងៃទី 22 ខែកញ្ញានៅទីក្រុងញូវយ៉ក។ អ្នកត្រួសត្រាយនៃមូលនិធិការពារហានិភ័យមានទស្សនៈយ៉ាងមុតមាំលើកន្លែងដែលសេដ្ឋកិច្ចត្រូវបានដឹកនាំ។

ទីផ្សារ

ភាគហ៊ុន
ឌីស៊ីអាយអេស។
-0.72​%

SPX,
-0.65​%

COMP
-0.14​%

មាន moving lower, with Treasury prices
TMUBMUSD ១០ ឆ្នាំ
3.966%

TMUBMUSD ១០ ឆ្នាំ
3.570%

also dropping and oil prices
CL.1,
-2.13​%

also headed south. The dollar
ឌីស៊ីអ៊ី
+ 0.20%

has gotten another big boost and bitcoin
BTCUSD,
-1.29​%

is hovering just under $19,000.

ការភ្ញាក់ផ្អើល

ក្រុមហ៊ុន Ford
F,
-9.54​%

is dropping in premarket after it warned inflation has driven up supply costs by $1 billion, with parts shortages leaving more cars unfinished, though the auto maker stuck to its annual forecasts.

SPAC ‘King’ Chamath Palihapitiya is winding down two vehicles
IPOD,
-0.25​%

IPOF,
-0.19​%

after failing to find target companies in time.

Home fitness-bike maker Peloton
ភី។ ខុន,
+ 2.72%

is introducing a $3,195 rowing machine.

ផ្លែប៉ោម
អេអេសអិល
+ 2.23%

 is raising the price of apps and in-app purchases across parts of Asia and any country that uses the euro. Shares are slipping.

The Swedish krona
SEKUSD,
-0.86​%

is falling even after the Riksbank hiked interest rates a bigger-than-expected 1%. Apart from the two-day Fed meeting that begins Tuesday, the Bank of England, Swiss National Bank and Norges Bank will also meet this week.

Fresh data showed housing starts were strong in August, but building permits fell.

ល្អបំផុតនៃគេហទំព័រ

New episode of ‘Serial’ podcast expected after Adnan Syed’s murder conviction is overturned

President Biden says pandemic is over, but 400 to 500 people a day are still dying

Brad Pitt and Nick Cave make their artistic debuts in Finland.

គំនូសតាង

“What would have been a major catastrophe some months ago has turned out to be manageable so far,” note strategists at DWS, in reference to high energy prices in Europe, specifically Germany after Russia has all but stopped gas exports.

They say that’s for two reasons: Germany is increasing gas storage faster than expected and consumption has dropped remarkably as their chart below shows. While a tough winter or even three may lay ahead, “we are now seeing how adaptable Western industries are when faced with extraordinary pressure,” says Martin Moryson, chief European economist.


DWS

អាន: Germany econ. minister says natural gas storage will be ’empty’ after winter

កំពូលអ្នកសរសេរសំបុត្រ

These were the most active tickers on MarketWatch as of 6 a.m. Eastern:

Ticker

ឈ្មោះសុវត្ថិភាព

TSLA,
+ 1.26%
ក្រុមហ៊ុន tesla

GME,
+ 0.59%
GameStop

អេអឹមខេ,
-0.78​%
អេអឹមខេកំសាន្ត

អេអេសអិល
+ 2.23%
ផ្លែប៉ោម

នីអូ,
-1.03​%
NIO

ប៊ីប៊ីប៊ី,
+ 0.19%
បន្ទប់ទឹកគ្រែនិងលើស

APE
-3.10​%
AMC Entertainment ចូលចិត្តភាគហ៊ុន

អិនអេឌីឌី
+ 0.49%
NVIDIA

AMZN,
-0.41​%
Amazon.com

AVCT,
-5.36​%
បច្ចេកវិទ្យាពពកនិម្មិតរបស់អាមេរិក

ចៃដន្យអាន

Beyond Meat’s
ដោយផ្ទាល់,
-2.20​%

ប្រធាននាយកប្រតិបត្តិប្រតិបត្តិការ accused of a road rage attack outside a football game.

The #OneChipChallenge is allegedly putting kids in the hospital

One $100 wedding dress shared over several decades by eight brides.

ត្រូវដឹងចាប់ផ្តើមពីដំបូងហើយត្រូវបានធ្វើបច្ចុប្បន្នភាពរហូតដល់កណ្តឹងបើកប៉ុន្តែ ចុះឈ្មោះនៅទីនេះ ដើម្បីបញ្ជូនវាទៅប្រអប់អ៊ីមែលរបស់អ្នក។ កំណែអ៊ីមែលនឹងត្រូវផ្ញើចេញនៅម៉ោងប្រហែល ៧ និង ៣០ នាទីព្រឹកខាងកើត។

Source: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/theres-only-one-perfect-asset-to-fight-all-the-bad-news-out-that-could-be-coming-says-this-strategist-11663671354?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo