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Inflation in the U.S. will be 'far stickier and longer lasting,' says portfolio manager

U.S. inflation is likely to be “far stickier” and could last a decade, according to Bill Smead, chief investment officer at Smead Capital Management.

Wall Street is gearing up for key inflation data later Tuesday, when the Labor Department releases its January សន្ទស្សន៍តម្លៃទំនិញប្រើប្រាស់. It is a widely followed រង្វាស់អតិផរណា that measures the cost for dozens of goods and services spanning the economy.

“The enthusiasm … right now is the hope that we’ll get a friendly Fed out of a soft landing, and we do not believe that is going to be the case,” Smead told CNBC’s “Streets Sign Asia.”

“We think the inflation is going to be far stickier and longer lasting — in fact, a decade because in the United States, we have incredibly favorable demographics.”

Earlier in February, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point and gave little indication it is nearing the end of this hiking cycle. 

Controlling inflation

For now, investors seem to be betting on a solid CPI print on Tuesday that shows inflation is cooling and that a pause or pivot in Fed rate hikes may be near.

On the flip side, analysts warned, a miss will likely indicate that the Fed will hike interest rates even more.

សេដ្ឋវិទូកំពុងរំពឹងថា CPI នឹងបង្ហាញពីការកើនឡើង 0.4% នៅក្នុងខែមករា ដែលនឹងប្រែទៅជាកំណើនប្រចាំឆ្នាំ 6.2% នេះបើយោងតាម ​​Dow Jones ។ ដោយមិនរាប់បញ្ចូលអាហារ និងថាមពល អ្វីដែលគេហៅថា CPI ស្នូលត្រូវបានព្យាករណ៍ថានឹងកើនឡើង 0.3% និង 5.5% រៀងគ្នា។

Stock futures ticked lower Tuesday morning as investors looked ahead to the inflation data.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones ឧស្សាហកម្មមធ្យម slipped 25 points, or 0.07%. Meanwhile, អេសអេស & ភី ៥០០ នាពេលអនាគត dropped marginally, and អនាគត Nasdaq-100 បានបដិសេធ ៥%

- ជេកខបរបស់ស្ថានីយទូរទស្សន៍ស៊ីធីអិនបានចូលរួមចំណែកក្នុងរបាយការណ៍នេះ

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/14/bill-smead-us-inflation-is-far-stickier-and-could-last-a-decade.html