តើទិន្នន័យអតិផរណារបស់អាមេរិកនៅពេលណា ហើយតើវានឹងប៉ះពាល់ដល់ EUR/USD យ៉ាងដូចម្តេច?

នេះ អឺរ៉ូ / ដុល្លារអាមេរិក exchange rate drifted upwards as focus shifted their focus on the upcoming US inflation data. It was trading at 1.0750, the highest point since June 9 of 2022. The euro has surged by more than 12% from its lowest level in 2022.

When is the US inflation data?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the latest American consumer អតិផរណា data on Thursday this week. The data will come at 16:30 GMT+ time, which is equivalent to 13:30 London time and 08:30 ET. As a result, the numbers will come at a time when the Asian markets are closed and before the official open of US ទីផ្សារ។


តើអ្នកកំពុងស្វែងរកព័ត៌មានរហ័សព័ត៌មានជំនួយក្តៅនិងការវិភាគទីផ្សារមែនទេ?

ចុះឈ្មោះសម្រាប់ព្រឹត្តិប័ត្រ Invezz ថ្ងៃនេះ។

Economists expect that the American inflation numbers will show that prices are easing. For one, retailers like Target and Walmart offered substantial discounts in a bid to clear their inventories. Important commodities like natural gas and gasoline also saw their prices drop sharply in December. Shipping costs and used car prices have also pulled back. 

Therefore, economists believe that the headline inflation data will come out at 6.5%, which will be lower than the previous 7.1%. If this happens, it will be the third straight month of decline. At the same time, core inflation, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, is expected to come in at 5.5%.

US inflation numbers will have an impact on the EUR/USD exchange rate. A higher-than-expected report will push the euro to dollar rate lower because it will give the Fed the impetus it needs to keep hiking rates. 

On the other hand, a lower inflation figure will push the Fed to adjust its interest rate outlook. Besides, as we wrote នៅ​ទីនេះ, wage inflation has also tilted lower recently.

EUR / USD ព្យាករណ៍

អឺរ៉ូ / ដុល្លារអាមេរិក

EUR/USD chart by TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that the EUR/USD price has been in a strong bullish trend in the past few days. In this period, the pair has managed to move above the key resistance level at 1.0717, the highest point on December 30. 

The pair has moved above all moving averages while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the overbought level. Therefore, I suspect that the bullish trend will continue as buyers target the next key resistance level at 1.0900. 

Source: https://invezz.com/news/2023/01/11/when-is-the-us-inflation-data-and-how-will-it-impact-eur-usd/