អ្នកកាន់ Bitcoin រយៈពេលវែងឥឡូវនេះមានជិត 80% នៃតម្លៃជាក់ស្តែង

On-chain data shows the part of the Bitcoin realized cap held by the long-term holders has increased and is now at nearly 80%.

អ្នកកាន់រយៈពេលវែង Bitcoin កាន់កាប់ស្ទើរតែ 80% នៃតម្លៃជាក់ស្តែង

ដូចដែលបានពន្យល់ដោយអ្នកវិភាគនៅក្នុងគ្រីបតូក្វាន់ ក្រោយ, the crypto has historically tended to form bottoms around when the long-term holder share of realized cap has exceeded 80%.

"អ្នកកាន់រយៈពេលវែង” (LTHs) are all those Bitcoin investors who have been holding onto their coins without selling or moving since at least 155 days ago.

The realized cap is a way of assessing the capitalization of the crypto where each circulating coin’s value is taken as the price it was last moved or sold at, rather than the current BTC price.

Now, the relevant on-chain indicator here is the “realized cap – UTXO age bands (%),” which tells us what part are the various groups in the Bitcoin market contributing to the total realized cap of the coin.

ការអានដែលទាក់ទង | Bitcoin Exchange Reserve កើនឡើង ការលក់មិនទាន់ចប់ទេ?

The various age bands denote the amount of time investors belonging to a group have been holding their coins for.

As mentioned earlier, LTHs include all cohorts holding since at least 155 days ago. Here is a chart that shows how the contribution to the realized cap by these investors have changed over the history of Bitcoin:

Looks like the value of the metric has observed rise recently | Source: គ្រីបតូក្វាន់

In the above graph, the quant has marked all the relevant points of trend related to the Bitcoin realized cap percentage of the LTHs.

It seems like whenever the indicator’s value has crossed the 80% mark, a bottom in the price of the crypto has taken place.

ការអានដែលទាក់ទង | អត្រាការផ្តល់មូលនិធិ Bitcoin នៅតែអវិជ្ជមាន ប៉ុន្តែការប្រាក់បើកចំហប្រាប់រឿងមួយទៀត

Currently, the metric’s value has been rising up in recent weeks, however, it has still not gone above the threshold just yet.

Nonetheless, the indicator is nearly there. If its value continues to rise and the historical pattern holds this time as well, then Bitcoin may observe a បាត ឆាប់។

តម្លៃ BTC

នៅពេលសរសេរ។ តម្លៃរបស់ Bitcoin អណ្តែតនៅជុំវិញ $21k ធ្លាក់ចុះ 30% ក្នុងរយៈពេលប្រាំពីរថ្ងៃចុងក្រោយនេះ។ ក្នុងរយៈពេលមួយខែកន្លងមកនេះ គ្រីបតូបានបាត់បង់តម្លៃ 30%។

តារាងខាងក្រោមបង្ហាញពីនិន្នាការតម្លៃកាក់ក្នុងរយៈពេលប្រាំថ្ងៃចុងក្រោយនេះ។

តម្លៃនៃគ្រីបតូ ហាក់ដូចជាបានផ្លាស់ប្តូរទៅម្ខាងក្នុងរយៈពេលប៉ុន្មានថ្ងៃចុងក្រោយនេះ | ប្រភព៖ BTCUSD ស្តីពី TradingView

Since the crash a few days ago, Bitcoin has been mostly consolidating around the $21k mark. Currently, it’s unclear whether the decline is over, or if more is coming.

If the LTH share of the realized cap is anything to go by, then BTC may first seen a bit more decline before the bottom is finally in.

រូបភាពពិសេសពី Kanchanara នៅលើ Unsplash.com តារាងពី TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com